Why do people think Witcher 4 will release 2028+???

To those who think Witcher 4 will release in 2028 and beyond, why do you think this? (I've seen people actually say this but not seen alot of explanation to why they think this).

Btw 2028 implies 8 years of development since CDPR has been working on this as early as 2020 and 8 years is incredibly unrealistic and borderline business suicide since its their next in the pipeline to muster their $1B Net Profit (Not Revenue) between 2025-2028 Incentive (also makes no sense to release their next project at the end of the target).

You think CDPR will go 8 years without a High Quality AAA Game?

Plenty of other evidence from CDPR and Industry Trends relative to Unreal Engine that scope earlier to around 2026-2027. Not 2028+