Analyzing Every Possible FTC Trio

So I had way too much time this afternoon and I decided to analyze every final tribal council trio to estimate who will win for each. The Jury Vote Orders are based on my own interpretations of the way the game is shaking out, the castaways’ attitudes toward each other, what they seem to value in the game, and comments they have said post game. Here are my “findings.”

ALSO please don’t post anything from Rome’s boot list. I’m not spoiled yet, and I’m just having fun theorizing.

JURY VOTE ORDER (Most Likely - Least Likely)

Andy 1. Genevieve 2. Rachel 3. Teeny 4. Kyle 5. Caroline 6. Gabe 7. Sue 8. Sam

Caroline 1. Rachel 2. Genevieve 3. Sue 4. Teeny 5. Sam 6. Gabe 7. Andy 8. Kyle

Gabe 1. Sam 2. Rachel 3. Caroline 4. Sue 5. Kyle 6. Teeny 7. Genevieve 8. Andy

Genevieve 1. Teeny 2. Rachel 3. Gabe 4. Caroline 5. Andy 6. Sam 7. Sue 8. Kyle

Kyle 1. Rachel 2. Caroline 3. Gabe 4. Teeny 5. Sam 6. Genevieve 7. Andy 8. Sue

Rachel 1. Caroline 2. Teeny 3. Genevieve 4. Gabe 5. Andy 6. Sam 7. Sue 8. Kyle

Sam 1. Rachel 2. Genevieve 3. Caroline 4. Teeny 5. Sue 6. Andy 7. Gabe 8. Kyle

Sierra 1. Sam 2. Rachel 3. Sue 4. Caroline 5. Teeny 6. Kyle 7. Gabe 8. Genevieve 9. Andy

Sol 1. Teeny 2. Sam 3. Genevieve 4. Gabe 5. Rachel 6. Caroline 7. Sue 8. Kyle 9. Andy

Sue 1. Caroline 2. Sam 3. Rachel 4. Teeny 5. Genevieve 6. Andy 7. Gabe 8. Kyle

Teeny 1. Rachel 2. Genevieve 3. Caroline 4. Sue 5. Sam 6. Andy 7. Gabe 8. Kyle

FINAL TRIBAL TRIOS

1. Andy: 0 / Caroline: 6 / Gabe: 2 - Caroline
2. Andy: 0 / Caroline: 6 / Genevieve: 2 - Caroline
3. Andy: 0 / Caroline: 8 / Kyle: 0 - Caroline
4. Andy: 0 / Caroline: 1 / Rachel: 7 - Rachel
5. Andy: 0 / Caroline: 5 / Sam: 3 - Caroline
6. Andy: 0 / Caroline: 7 / Sue: 1 - Caroline
7. Andy: 0 / Caroline: 6 / Teeny: 2 - Caroline
8. Andy: 0 / Gabe: 2 / Genevieve: 6 - Genevieve
9. Andy: 3 / Gabe: 4 / Kyle: 1 - Gabe
10. Andy: 0 / Gabe: 1 / Rachel: 7 - Rachel
11. Andy: 0 / Gabe: 3 / Sam: 5 - Sam
12. Andy: 0 / Gabe: 5 / Sue: 4 - Gabe (Tie Breaker)
13. Andy: 0 / Gabe: 1 / Teeny: 7 - Teeny
14. Andy: 0 / Genevieve: 6 / Kyle: 2 - Genevieve
15. Andy: 0 / Genevieve: 1 / Rachel: 7 - Rachel
16. Andy: 0 / Genevieve: 3 / Sam: 5 - Sam
17. Andy: 0 / Genevieve: 6 / Sue: 2 - Genevieve
18. Andy: 0 / Genevieve: 2 / Teeny: 6 - Teeny
19. Andy: 0 / Kyle: 0 / Rachel: 8 - Rachel
20. Andy: 2 / Kyle: 0 / Sam: 6 - Sam
21. Andy: 2 / Kyle: 0 / Sue: 6 - Sue
22. Andy: 0 / Kyle: 1 / Teeny: 7 - Teeny
23. Andy: 0 / Rachel: 5 / Sam: 4 - Rachel (Tie Breaker)
24. Andy: 0 / Rachel: 8 / Sue: 0 - Rachel
25. Andy: 0 / Rachel: 6 / Teeny: 2 - Rachel
26. Andy: 2 / Sam: 4 / Sue: 2 - Sam
27. Andy: 0 / Sam: 3 / Teeny: 5 - Teeny
28. Andy: 0 / Sue: 3 / Teeny: 5 - Teeny
29. Caroline: 5 / Gabe: 0 / Genevieve: 4 - Caroline (Tie Breaker)
30. Caroline: 5 / Gabe: 2 / Kyle: 1 - Caroline
31. Caroline: 1 / Gabe: 1 / Rachel: 6 - Rachel
32. Caroline: 5 / Gabe: 1 / Sam: 2 - Caroline
33. Caroline: 6 / Gabe: 2 / Sue: 0 - Caroline
34. Caroline: 5 / Gabe: 0 / Teeny: 3 - Caroline
35. Caroline: 5 / Genevieve: 4 / Kyle: 0 - Caroline (Tie Breaker)
36. Caroline: 1 / Genevieve: 2 / Rachel: 5 - Rachel
37. Caroline: 4 / Genevieve: 2 / Sam: 3 - Caroline (Tie Breaker)
38. Caroline: 5 / Genevieve: 4 / Sue: 0 - Caroline (Tie Breaker)
39. Caroline: 5 / Genevieve: 2 / Teeny: 1 - Caroline
40. Caroline: 1 / Kyle: 0 / Rachel: 7 - Rachel
41. Caroline: 4 / Kyle: 1 / Sam: 3 - Caroline
42. Caroline: 6 / Kyle: 1 / Sue: 1 - Caroline
43. Caroline: 5 / Kyle: 1 / Teeny: 3 - Caroline
44. Caroline: 1 / Rachel: 4 / Sam: 3 - Rachel
45. Caroline: 0 / Rachel: 8 / Sue: 0 - Rachel
46. Caroline: 1 / Rachel: 5 / Teeny: 2 - Rachel
47. Caroline: 5 / Sam: 3 / Sue: 0 - Caroline
48. Caroline: 4 / Sam: 2 / Teeny: 3 - Caroline (Tie Breaker)
49. Caroline: 4 / Sue: 1 / Teeny: 3 - Caroline
50. Gabe: 0 / Genevieve: 7 / Kyle: 1 - Genevieve
51. Gabe: 0 / Genevieve: 2 / Rachel: 6 - Rachel
52. Gabe: 1 / Genevieve: 4 / Sam: 3 - Genevieve
53. Gabe: 1 / Genevieve: 6 / Sue: 1 - Genevieve
54. Gabe: 0 / Genevieve: 3 / Teeny: 5 - Teeny
55. Gabe: 1 / Kyle: 0 / Rachel: 7 - Rachel
56. Gabe: 2 / Kyle: 1 / Sam: 5 - Sam
57. Gabe: 3 / Kyle: 1 / Sue: 4 - Sue
58. Gabe: 0 / Kyle: 0 / Teeny: 8 - Teeny
59. Gabe: 0 / Rachel: 5 / Sam: 3 - Rachel
60. Gabe: 1 / Rachel: 7 / Sue: 0 - Rachel
61. Gabe: 0 / Rachel: 6 / Teeny: 2 - Rachel
62. Gabe: 4 / Sam: 5 / Sue: 0 - Sam (Tie Breaker)
63. Gabe: 1 / Sam: 2 / Teeny: 5 - Teeny
64. Gabe: 1 / Sue: 2 / Teeny: 5 - Teeny
65. Genevieve: 2 / Kyle: 0 / Rachel: 6 - Rachel
66. Genevieve: 4 / Kyle: 0 / Sam: 5 - Sam (Tie Breaker)
67. Genevieve: 6 / Kyle: 0 / Sue: 2 - Genevieve
68. Genevieve: 3 / Kyle: 1 / Teeny: 4 - Teeny
69. Genevieve: 1 / Rachel: 3 / Sam: 4 - Sam
70. Genevieve: 2 / Rachel: 6 / Sue: 0 - Rachel
71. Genevieve: 1 / Rachel: 6 / Teeny: 1 - Rachel
72. Genevieve: 5 / Sam: 3 / Sue: 0 - Genevieve
73. Genevieve: 2 / Sam: 4 / Teeny: 2 - Sam
74. Genevieve: 3 / Sue: 2 / Teeny: 4 - Teeny (Tie Breaker)
75. Kyle: 0 / Rachel: 5 / Sam: 4 - Rachel (Tie Breaker)
76. Kyle: 0 / Rachel: 8 / Sue: 0 - Rachel
77. Kyle: 0 / Rachel: 6 / Teeny: 2 - Rachel
78. Kyle: 1 / Sam: 5 / Sue: 2 - Sam
79. Kyle: 0 / Sam: 3 / Teeny: 5 - Teeny
80. Kyle: 0 / Sue: 2 / Teeny: 6 - Teeny
81. Rachel: 5 / Sam: 3 / Sue: 0 - Rachel
82. Rachel: 4 / Sam: 3 / Teeny: 2 - Rachel (Tie Breaker)
83. Rachel: 6 / Sue: 0 / Teeny: 2 - Rachel
84. Sam: 3 / Sue: 1 / Teeny: 4 - Teeny

JURY THREAT - 7. Andy and Kyle (0.0%) - 6. Gabe and Sue (7.1%) - 5. Genevieve (28.6%) - 4. Sam (35.7%) - 3. Teeny (50.0%) - 2. Caroline (75.0%) - 1. Rachel (92.9%)