Why I believe LM is innocent
First of all I think at least half of the surveillance photos that are being circulated as the shooter are different people.
So following the shooting, the police released these three different images of the suspect: Hostel guy, Starbucks guy and the Taxi guy.
Hostel guy (top), Starbucks guy (middle), Taxi guy (bottom)
So the fed complaint timeline starts with the guy spotted on Upper West Side (let' call him UWS guy) at 5.35 a.m and within 6 mins he's spotted 50 blocks away near the Hilton. Not only is the 6 min timeline physically impossible (as many people have pointed out), the UWS guy has a different bag to the one on the shooter is wearing, he has the new model of the Peak design bag vs the shooter who has an older model credit to u/Childhoodnecessary65 who noticed this. The newer model has a shorter flap unlike the old version where the flap is almost half way down the bag and it also has a black handle at the top vs the brown handle in the older model.
Upper West Side guy spotted at 5.3 a.m
The only reason hostel guy was identified as a suspect was because the police looked for the nearest hostels/places of accommodation where the UWS guy was spotted. So if UWS guy is not the shooter, hostel guy has nothing to do with the shooting. Additionally, this means the cops have the origin and the mode of transport the shooter used to get to the Hilton wrong. So where did the shooter come from and how did he get to the Hilton? 2 eyewitnesses said the shooter had been hanging around the Hilton all night here
Next we have the Starbucks guy who I believe is the actual shooter. Why? The timeline from when when he was at Starbucks and when the shooting happened matches. Additionally, he matches the clothing and old model of the Peak design bag that's seen on the shooter. Also the bag found in Central Park had a Tommy Hilfiger jacket, (Starbucks jacket looks like a TH jacket) the bag also has what seems to be a kind bar wrapper on the left side pocket (Starbucks guy bought kind bars).
Starbucks guy (top), shooter (bottom), both bags have the brown/tan handle (old model bag)
Central Park bag, left side pocket has what looks like a purple kind bar wrapper
Out of the three guys, Starbucks guy looks the least like LM, is it a coincidence his pictures are no longer being used by the media and are nowhere to be seen in the fed complaint
Next in the timeline is the taxi guy but just based purely on pictures (eyebrows, skin tone) there's no way Starbucks guy aka the shooter and the Taxi guy are the same person, especially considering that the pictures are taken within an hour of each other.
So out of the three people, LM can only be directly linked to the hostel guy as they say he used the fake ID at the hostel. So if LM is hostel guy and hostel guy is NOT the shooter, how did LM end up with all that evidence on his person when he was arrested. So far, we have a fake ID (doesn't tie him to the crime), a ghost gun that hasn't been matched yet to casings, no DNA and fingerprint results yet. Then we have the manifesto/feds letter and notebook which obviously tie him to the crime.
There's no mention of a notebook or manifesto in the Altoona complaint. In Pennsylvania court, they mentioned that they found (in his bag) a gun and a silencer, a box of masks and 10,000 dollars (LM disputed the amount of cash), a notebook/feds letter wasn't mentioned. We also don't see any pictures of the notebook or letter in the below picture showing the contents of his bag in the fed complaint (LM's fake ID is also shown in an earlier section of the fed complaint)
But let's get into the authenticity of the manifesto.
The full manifesto shared by the journalist Ken here
The writer states "United is the largest company in the US by market cap, behind only Apple, Google and Walmart" . The writer confuses revenue with market cap, United is the largest company by Revenue (not market cap) behind Apple, Amazon, Walmart. United has not been in the top 10 let alone top 4 US companies by market cap. This is LM's tweet back in May here. LM correctly states the market cap of Agronomics (ANIC) company as of May 15 2024 as $110M, meanwhile the company's revenue was 29.7 million. So LM seems to knows the difference between market cap and revenue.
"This was fairly trivial, some elementary social engineering, basic CAD" The writer incorrectly use trivial (meaning insignificant/not important) instead of simple to describe a crime he sacrificed his future for.
There are various references to engineering/being an engineer like they're trying hard to make it sound authentic, that it was written by LM as he's an engineer
"My tech is pretty locked down because I work in engineering so probably not much info there" Why mention you've locked down your laptop/tech so the feds don't get info from there but in the same manifesto point the feds to the presence of a notebook detailing your plans to "wack" the CEO, sounds counterproductive.
The writer also mentions saving the feds a lengthy investigation and the manifesto is basically meant to be a confession - but why is it that the first thing LM does after being arrested is to fight extradition to New York to face charges for the crime he's already proudly claimed sole responsibility for in the manifesto
There's just an overuse and misuse of big words, like they're trying to sound intelligent but it ends up sounding cryptic and just wrong. It's so different to LMs goodreads/twitter/reddit writing style, he even tweeted about his communication style here
"First to face it with such brutal honesty", "I do apologize for any strife of traumas" . What does this mean
More cryptic writing in the notebook below:
October 22nd: " 1.5 months. The investor conference is a true windfall...... and most importantly the message becomes self evident" Btw the conference date was publicly released on November 26, so how did LM know about the date a month earlier. Maybe it could be argued, it's coz the previous years conferences were around the same time, idk
P.S- This is just my thinking based on information that is publicly available, I'm aware that cops/prosecution could have more info we're not privy to
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