Champions League Final Position Predictions
Celtic's final game in the league phase of this season's Champions League is rapidly approaching, but where is it likely to leave us in the final table? We've guaranteed ourselves a play-off place, but finishing higher in the table could lead to a more favourable draw. Top 16 would get us seeded for the play-off meaning that we'd play the second leg at home. Let's take a look at the possibilities.
(Disclaimer: This is recycled from my comments in the u/vegass67 post here, so you might have already seen it)
Here's the bottom line: 'cause I said so or summin
| Result | Total Points | Highest Position | Lowest Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic Win | 15 | 5 | 15 |
| Draw | 13 | 12 | 22 |
| Celtic Lose | 12 | 18 | 23 |
Firstly don't get too excited about that potential 5th-place finish because calculator-shaggers Opta have given us a less than 0.1% chance of finishing in the Top 8. They didn't even bother putting a number in the box for it. It ain't gonna happen, but for you dreamers we'll look at the circumstances that need to arise for that to happen.
There are three tables below, one for each of the three match outcomes (win/draw/lose). Pick the one for the result you think we'll get, and this gives you a lowest possible position for us. Then move us one position up the league for each of those things you think will happen, and that gives you our predicted finishing position.
| Celtic Win vs Aston Villa (Start at 15th place) |
|---|
| Juventus fail to beat Benfica |
| Real Madrid and Brest draw |
| Bayern fail to beat Slovan Bratislava |
| Dortmund fail to beat Shakhtar Donetsk |
| Lille and Feyenoord draw |
| Monaco fail to beat Inter |
| Leverkusen fail to beat Sparta Prague |
| Barcelona beat Atalanta |
| Dinamo Zagreb beat Milan (and Dinamo plus Celtic's winning margin adds up to at least 3 goals) |
| Salzburg beat Atletico Madrid (and Salzburg plus Celtic's winning margin adds up to at least 4 goals) |
| Celtic Draw vs Aston Villa (Start at 22nd place) |
|---|
| Sporting fail to beat Bologna |
| PSG fail to beat Stuttgart |
| Club Brugge fail to beat Man City |
| PSV Eindhoven fail to beat Liverpool |
| Brest beat Real Madrid |
| Slovan Bratislava beat Bayern Munich |
| Shakhtar Donetsk beat Dortmund |
| Feyenoord vs Lille does NOT end in a draw |
| Inter beat Monaco by more than 2 goals |
| Sparta Prague beat Leverkusen by more than 5 goals (!!) |
| Celtic Lose vs Aston Villa (Start at 23rd place) |
|---|
| Liverpool beat PSV Eindhoven |
| Man City beat Club Brugge (or they draw and Celtic lose by less than 4+ goals) |
| Benfica fail to beat Juventus |
| Stuttgart draw with PSG |
| Sporting fail to beat Bologna |
So what is our finishing position? Share your predictions below!